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Milton J. Madison - An American Refugee Now Living in China, Where Liberty is Ascending

Federalism, Free Markets and the Liberty To Let One's Mind Wander. I Am Very Worried About the Fate of Liberty in the USA, Where Government is Taking people's Lives ____________________________________________________________________________________________ "Extremism in defense of liberty is no vice. Tolerance in the face of tyranny is no virtue." -Barry Goldwater-

Saturday, December 10, 2005

I Guess I Should Bid For This Contract...

Tradesports market on the bombing of Iran is only around 11-17. In other words, the market only thinks that there is around a 15% chance that Iran will get bombed. As I have said, I think that Israel will bomb them by summer.

1 Comments:

At 6:31 PM, Blogger Heywood970 said...

Well I guess you bought tradesports chared in the Iran bomb contract then at 15%.

As these are esentially time decay options the price is not 12% so if you still believe your prediction you can load up on some more contracts at a cheaper price.

 

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